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Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 64.5 (-125/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 60.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 64.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dolphins are a 3-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Steelers defense this year: 5th-most in the league.
  • In this week's game, Jaylen Waddle is expected by the projection model to secure a spot in the 93rd percentile among wideouts with 8.5 targets.
  • Jaylen Waddle has totaled many more air yards this season (84.0 per game) than he did last season (56.0 per game).
  • Jaylen Waddle's 65.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially higher this season than it was last season at 43.8.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Miami Dolphins to pass on 57.5% of their opportunities: the lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is projected by our trusted projection set to have just 125.8 total plays called: the fewest out of all the games this week.
  • The Miami Dolphins have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 52.4 plays per game.
  • In regards to protecting the passer (and the influence it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Miami Dolphins profiles as the worst in the league this year.
  • Jaylen Waddle's ability to pick up extra yardage has worsened this season, totaling a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 3.88 rate last season.

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