My Account Log Out
 
 
Jaylen Waddle

Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 14

New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 68.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 61.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 68.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects Jaylen Waddle to notch 8.3 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 90th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • After accumulating 56.0 air yards per game last year, Jaylen Waddle has been rising this year, now boasting 86.0 per game.
  • Jaylen Waddle's 63.9 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that examines high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit higher this year than it was last year at 43.8.
  • Jaylen Waddle rates as one of the leading WRs in the game this year, averaging an impressive 57.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 90th percentile.
  • With an outstanding 9.5 adjusted yards per target (88th percentile) this year, Jaylen Waddle ranks as one of the best WRs in the NFL in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Dolphins being a 3-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • With a 57.8% rate of passing the ball (in a neutral context) this year, the 7th-least pass-focused team in the league has been the Miami Dolphins.
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Dolphins are predicted by the projection model to call only 63.8 total plays in this contest: the 5th-lowest number among all teams this week.
  • The Dolphins have called the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 52.0 plays per game.
  • The Miami Dolphins offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative influence on all passing game metrics across the board.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™