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Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Miami Dolphins vs Washington Commanders

Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 78.5 (-116/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 78.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 78.5 @ -116.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The leading projections forecast Jaylen Waddle to accrue 8.5 targets in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to wideouts.

After accumulating 56.0 air yards per game last year, Jaylen Waddle has posted big gains this year, currently pacing 84.0 per game.

Jaylen Waddle's 60.1 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that examines high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly better this season than it was last season at 43.8.

Jaylen Waddle has compiled substantially more adjusted receiving yards per game (60.0) this year than he did last year (49.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Dolphins have been the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 58.5% pass rate.

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Dolphins are projected by the model to run just 62.5 offensive plays in this game: the 2nd-lowest number among all teams this week.

The 4th-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Miami Dolphins this year (only 51.7 per game on average).

The Miami Dolphins offensive line ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.

Jaylen Waddle's talent in generating extra yardage have diminished this season, totaling a measly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 3.88 rate last season.

More Jaylen Waddle Player Props

Jaylen Waddle Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 11

Miami Dolphins vs Washington Commanders

Jaylen Waddle Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11