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Jaydon Blue

Jaydon Blue Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 5

New York Jets vs Dallas Cowboys

 
 
 
Jaydon Blue Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+380/-510).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -870 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -510.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Cowboys to pass on 61.2% of their opportunities: the 5th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
  • The 2nd-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Dallas Cowboys this year (a staggering 63.5 per game on average).
  • Still weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally mean increased passing effectiveness, increased touchdown potential, increased air volume, and lower ground volume.
  • The New York Jets defense has been torched for the 8th-most receiving touchdowns in the NFL to RBs: 0.25 per game this year.
  • The New York Jets defensive tackles profile as the 2nd-best collection of DTs in the NFL this year with their run defense.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Cowboys to run the 4th-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 62.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • Opposing teams teams have been hesitant to pass too much against the Jets, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in football (a lowly 28.2 per game) this year.
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Cowboys grades out as the worst in the NFL this year.
  • This year, the porous New York Jets run defense has allowed a massive 1.00 TDs on the ground per game to the opposing side: the 9th-worst rate in the NFL.

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