reorder

Jayden Reed Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17

Green Bay Packers vs Baltimore Ravens

Jayden Reed Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+375/-500).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -410 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -500.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Green Bay Packers may take to the air less in this contest (and call more rushes) since they be rolling with backup QB Malik Willis.

The Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing teams to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (39.5 per game) this year.

The projections expect Jayden Reed to be a more important option in his team's passing offense near the goal line in this week's game (19.3% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (14.3% in games he has played).

Jayden Reed's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 75.1% to 84.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Green Bay Packers as the 3rd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 51.3% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The Green Bay Packers have been the 7th-most run-focused team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) this year with a 51.9% red zone run rate.

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the predictive model to run just 59.6 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.

Jayden Reed has compiled quite a few less air yards this season (30.0 per game) than he did last season (38.0 per game).

Jayden Reed's 27.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 36.8.

More Jayden Reed Player Props

Jayden Reed TouchdownsPlayer Prop Week 17

Green Bay Packers vs Baltimore Ravens

Jayden Reed Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 17