My Account Log Out
 
 
Jayden Reed

Jayden Reed Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 15

Denver Broncos vs Green Bay Packers

 
 
 
Jayden Reed Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+320/-365).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +345 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +320.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 37.0 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 7th-most in the league.
  • While Jayden Reed has been responsible for 9.1% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much more involved in Green Bay's offense near the goal line this week at 17.1%.
  • Jayden Reed grades out as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the league, hauling in a stellar 75.4% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, grading out in the 92nd percentile among wide receivers.
  • Jayden Reed grades out in the 81st percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging an exceptional 0.35 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 54.6% rate of running the ball in the red zone (context-neutralized) this year, the 3rd-most run-oriented offense in football under these circumstances has been the Green Bay Packers.
  • Right now, the 5th-slowest paced team in football (adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Green Bay Packers.
  • With a terrific ratio of 0.05 rushing touchdowns per game (92nd percentile), Jayden Reed rates among the top rushing TD-scorers in the NFL among WRs and TEs since the start of last season.
  • This year, the stout Denver Broncos defense has yielded a measly 65.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 4th-lowest rate in the league.
  • The Broncos defense has surrendered the fewest TDs through the air in the league to wideouts: 0.38 per game this year.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™