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Jayden Reed

Jayden Reed Receptions
Player Prop Week 2

Green Bay Packers vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Jayden Reed Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+138/-146).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -121 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -146.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may slide.
  • When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Packers ranks as the 6th-best in the league since the start of last season.
  • With an exceptional 74.3% Adjusted Catch Rate (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Jayden Reed places among the best possession receivers in football among wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Packers are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a running game script.
  • The predictive model expects the Packers to run the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The Packers have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 55.0 plays per game.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Washington Commanders, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.0 per game) since the start of last season.
  • The Washington Commanders pass defense has given up the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (63.2%) versus WRs since the start of last season (63.2%).

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