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Jayden Reed Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Green Bay Packers vs Baltimore Ravens

Jayden Reed Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+114/-144).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +118 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing teams to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (39.5 per game) this year.

With a fantastic 3.0 adjusted receptions per game (76th percentile) this year, Jayden Reed rates as one of the best WRs in the game in the league.

Jayden Reed's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 75.1% to 84.0%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Packers are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.

The projections expect the Green Bay Packers as the 10th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the predictive model to run just 59.5 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.

Jayden Reed's 27.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 36.8.

When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, Baltimore's safety corps has been phenomenal this year, ranking as the best in the NFL.

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Jayden Reed ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 17

Green Bay Packers vs Baltimore Ravens

Jayden Reed Receptions
Player Prop Week 17