My Account Log Out
 
 
Jayden Reed

Jayden Reed Receptions
Player Prop Week 14

Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears

 
 
 
Jayden Reed Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+144/-153).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -162 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -153.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may slide.
  • Jayden Reed has been one of the most reliable receivers in the league, catching a fantastic 74.3% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, checking in at the 89th percentile among wideouts.
  • The Bears pass defense has been torched for the 8th-highest Adjusted Completion% in football (67.2%) to WRs this year (67.2%).
  • The Chicago Bears cornerbacks project as the 4th-worst unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is implied by the Packers being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Green Bay Packers to pass on 53.9% of their chances: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect the Packers to call the 3rd-fewest total plays among all teams this week with 63.2 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™