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Jayden Reed Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-115/-115).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may slide.When talking about protecting the quarterback (and the strong effect it has on all passing game stats), the O-line of the Packers ranks as the 6th-best in the league since the start of last season.With an exceptional 74.3% Adjusted Catch Rate (87th percentile) since the start of last season, Jayden Reed places among the best possession receivers in football among wide receivers.With a terrific 11.0 adjusted yards per target (100th percentile) since the start of last season, Jayden Reed has been as one of the best wide receivers in the league in the NFL.The Washington Commanders pass defense has been particularly weak when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, allowing an average of 0.00 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the most in football.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The Packers are a 3-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a running game script.The predictive model expects the Packers to run the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.9 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.The Packers have run the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging just 55.0 plays per game.Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to test the pass defense of the Washington Commanders, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in football (a mere 30.0 per game) since the start of last season.Jayden Reed grades out as one of the bottom wideouts in football at picking up extra yardage, averaging a lowly 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) since the start of last season while ranking in the 1st percentile.
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