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Jayden Reed Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Jayden Reed Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 35.5 (-114/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 35.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 35.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Green Bay Packers will be starting backup QB Clayton Tune in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The leading projections forecast this game to see the fewest plays run among all games this week at 128.3 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Jayden Reed's sure-handedness have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 75.1% to 86.8%.

With a remarkable 10.6 adjusted yards per target (84th percentile) this year, Jayden Reed stands among the best wide receivers in the game in the league.

The Bears pass defense has been torched for the highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (67.7%) versus wideouts this year (67.7%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Green Bay Packers to be the 2nd-least pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 53.6% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The 4th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Packers this year (just 54.9 per game on average).

The weather forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

Opposing QBs have averaged 29.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Bears defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.

After accumulating 38.0 air yards per game last year, Jayden Reed has undergone a big decline this year, currently sitting at 26.0 per game.

More Jayden Reed Player Props

Jayden Reed Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 19

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Jayden Reed Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19