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Jayden Reed

Jayden Reed Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Green Bay Packers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Jayden Reed Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-111/-111).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 25.5 @ -111.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Green Bay Packers may take to the air less in this contest (and call more rushes) since they be rolling with backup QB Malik Willis.
  • The Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing teams to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (39.5 per game) this year.
  • Jayden Reed's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 75.1% to 84.0%.
  • Jayden Reed checks in as one of the most effective pass-catchers in the NFL, averaging an excellent 10.50 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 85th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • The Ravens defense has been torched for the 2nd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (175.0) vs. wide receivers this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Green Bay Packers as the 3rd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 51.3% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the predictive model to run just 59.6 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Jayden Reed has compiled quite a few less air yards this season (30.0 per game) than he did last season (38.0 per game).
  • Jayden Reed's 27.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 36.8.
  • Jayden Reed's 38.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season represents a noteworthy diminishment in his receiving talent over last season's 49.0 figure.

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