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Jayden Reed

Jayden Reed Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Green Bay Packers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Jayden Reed Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-124/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -107 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -102.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Ravens defense has been a prominent pass funnel this year, inducing opposing teams to attempt the 2nd-most passes in the league (39.5 per game) this year.
  • Jayden Reed's possession skills have been refined this season, with his Adjusted Catch% jumping from 75.1% to 84.0%.
  • Jayden Reed checks in as one of the most effective pass-catchers in the NFL, averaging an excellent 10.50 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 85th percentile when it comes to wideouts.
  • The Ravens defense has been torched for the 2nd-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the NFL (175.0) vs. wide receivers this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Packers are a 4.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • The projections expect the Green Bay Packers as the 10th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 55.1% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the predictive model to run just 59.5 plays on offense in this game: the lowest number among all teams this week.
  • Jayden Reed has compiled quite a few less air yards this season (30.0 per game) than he did last season (38.0 per game).
  • Jayden Reed's 27.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially worse this season than it was last season at 36.8.

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