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Jayden Reed Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Jayden Reed Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 39.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -118.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Jayden Reed's possession skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 75.1% to 80.1%.

This year, the porous Chicago Bears pass defense has been torched for a monstrous 67.8% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing wide receivers: the 5th-worst rate in football.

This year, the shaky Chicago Bears defense has been gouged for the 2nd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing WRs: a whopping 9.68 yards.

When it comes to linebackers pass-rushing, Chicago's unit has been lousy this year, profiling as the 2nd-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Packers are projected by the model to run just 62.8 offensive plays in this contest: the 4th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.

Jayden Reed's 28.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been significantly lower this year than it was last year at 36.8.

Jayden Reed's 36.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year shows a meaningful drop-off in his pass-catching skills over last year's 49.0 rate.

Jayden Reed's receiving efficiency has diminished this season, accumulating a mere 9.65 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 11.08 figure last season.

More Jayden Reed Player Props

Jayden Reed Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 16

Chicago Bears vs Green Bay Packers

Jayden Reed Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16