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Jayden Reed

Jayden Reed Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Green Bay Packers vs Detroit Lions

Jayden Reed Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-102/-117).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 33.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 33.5 @ -117.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Green Bay Packers as the 9th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 59.1% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 35.8 pass attempts per game versus the Lions defense last year: 4th-most in the league.

In regards to pass protection (and the strong effect it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Green Bay Packers profiles as the 6th-best in football last year.

Jayden Reed grades out as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, completing a fantastic 75.1% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) last year, ranking in the 87th percentile among wideouts.

With a remarkable 11.1 adjusted yards per target (100th percentile) last year, Jayden Reed rates as one of the top wide receivers in the NFL in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Packers are predicted by our trusted projection set to run only 62.1 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-fewest among all teams this week.

The 5th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Green Bay Packers last year (just 55.7 per game on average).

Last year, the stout Lions defense has surrendered a paltry 62.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wideouts: the 6th-smallest rate in the NFL.

As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, Detroit's collection of safeties has been exceptional last year, grading out as the best in the league.

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