Jayden Reed Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Jayden Reed

NFL · Player Props

Jayden Reed

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Jayden Reed Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-109/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 32.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 26.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Packers have been the 9th-most pass-heavy offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year with a 63.5% pass rate.
Jayden Reed rates as one of the most efficient receivers in football, averaging an outstanding 9.86 adjusted yards-per-target this year while checking in at the 85th percentile among wideouts.
When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Los Angeles's unit has been easily exploitable this year, grading out as the worst in the NFL.

Favors Under

With a 3.5-point advantage, the Packers are favored in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical approach.
Our trusted projections expect the Packers to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The 6th-lowest number of plays in football have been run by the Green Bay Packers this year (a mere 53.9 per game on average).
With a bad 59.3% Adjusted Completion% (22nd percentile) this year, Jayden Reed ranks as one of the most unreliable receivers in the NFL when it comes to WRs.
The Rams pass defense has given up the 3rd-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the NFL (56.5%) versus wide receivers this year (56.5%).

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