Jayden Reed Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Jayden Reed

NFL · Player Props

Jayden Reed

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Minnesota Vikings · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 4:16 PM UTC

Analysis

Jayden Reed Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 31.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects this game to have the 5th-most plays run on the slate this week at 130.4 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Vikings defense has conceded the 10th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (174.0) versus WRs this year.
This year, the weak Vikings pass defense has allowed a monstrous 77.0% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing WRs: the biggest rate in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Green Bay Packers have called the 5th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging a mere 53.2 plays per game.
Opposing teams teams have been wary to pass too much against the Vikings, averaging the 9th-fewest attempts in the NFL (just 34.0 per game) this year.
With a subpar 58.1% Adjusted Catch Rate (20th percentile) this year, Jayden Reed ranks as one of the least sure-handed receivers in football among wideouts.
The Vikings safeties rank as the 3rd-best unit in the league this year in defending receivers.

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