Jayden Reed Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Jayden Reed

NFL · Player Props

Jayden Reed

WR · Green Bay Packers

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 20, 2023 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Jayden Reed Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 33.5 (-145/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 33.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -3-point disadvantage, the Packers are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their standard approach.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is predicted by the projection model to see 131.1 total plays called: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 40.3 pass attempts per game versus the Chargers defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Green Bay Packers profiles as the 10th-best in the league this year.
Jayden Reed checks in as one of the most efficient receivers in football, averaging a terrific 9.98 adjusted yards-per-target this year while ranking in the 86th percentile when it comes to WRs.

Favors Under

The Green Bay Packers have run the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 55.1 plays per game.

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