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Jaxson Dart

Jaxson Dart Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 9

New York Giants vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Jaxson Dart Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+200/-210).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +235 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +200.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 137.7 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Giants have called the 8th-most plays in football this year, averaging a colossal 59.6 plays per game.
  • The New York Giants O-line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • The opposing side have rushed for the 6th-fewest TDs in the NFL (0.50 per game) against the San Francisco 49ers defense this year.
  • The San Francisco 49ers cornerbacks grade out as the worst unit in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Giants to pass on 53.7% of their opportunities: the 3rd-lowest clip on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Giants to be the 9th-most run-oriented offense in the league near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 45.9% red zone run rate.
  • Jaxson Dart isn't afraid to call his own number near the end zone, accounting for 21.1% of his team's red zone run game usage this year (95th percentile among quarterbacks).
  • With a lackluster 60.6% Adjusted Completion% (15th percentile) this year, Jaxson Dart ranks among the least accurate QBs in the league.
  • Jaxson Dart has run for 0.43 touchdowns per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the largest marks in football among QBs (100th percentile).

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