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Jaxson Dart

Jaxson Dart Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 8

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Jaxson Dart Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+250/-335).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -290 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -335.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Giants are a huge 7-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Giants offense to be the 2nd-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.48 seconds per play.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may go down.
  • In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the New York Giants grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles safeties project as the worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Giants to pass on 54.1% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • At the moment, the 10th-most run-focused offense in the league near the end zone (46.2% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the New York Giants.
  • The model projects Jaxson Dart to throw 32.6 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 7th-fewest out of all QBs.
  • Jaxson Dart isn't afraid to run the ball himself near the goal line, accounting for 21.1% of his offense's red zone carries this year (93rd percentile among quarterbacks).
  • With a weak 60.4% Adjusted Completion% (15th percentile) this year, Jaxson Dart ranks among the least accurate passers in football.

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