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Jaxson Dart

Jaxson Dart Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 7

Denver Broncos vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Jaxson Dart Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+335/-350).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +385 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +335.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -7-point disadvantage, the Giants are giant underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of an emphasis on passing than their normal approach.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to have 135.8 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most among all games this week.
  • The New York Giants have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 61.2 plays per game.
  • In regards to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Giants profiles as the 4th-best in football this year.
  • This year, the formidable Denver Broncos run defense has yielded a puny 0.33 rushing touchdowns per game to the opposing side: the lowest rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the New York Giants as the 8th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Giants to be the 9th-most run-heavy team in football near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 45.7% red zone run rate.
  • The projections expect Jaxson Dart to throw 33.4 passes in this contest, on balance: the 8th-fewest among all quarterbacks.
  • Comprising 14.7% of his offense's red zone run game usage this year (85th percentile when it comes to QBs), Jaxson Dart's mobility makes him a dangerous weapon on the ground near the end zone.
  • With an exceptional rate of 0.40 touchdowns on the ground per game (98th percentile), Jaxson Dart rates among the leading running quarterbacks in the NFL this year.

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