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Jaxson Dart

Jaxson Dart Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 13

New England Patriots vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Jaxson Dart Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+290/-310).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +305 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +290.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -7-point disadvantage, the Giants are enormous underdogs in this week's game, suggesting much more of an emphasis on passing than their typical game plan.
  • The Giants have called the 3rd-most plays in football this year, totaling a staggering 61.0 plays per game.
  • The New York Giants offensive line grades out as the 8th-best in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a positive influence on all passing game stats across the board.
  • This year, the deficient Patriots defense has been gouged for a staggering 72.8% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing quarterbacks: the worst rate in the NFL.
  • This year, the stout Patriots run defense has surrendered a mere 0.33 TDs on the ground per game to opposing squads: the lowest rate in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New York Giants to pass on 55.1% of their opportunities: the 6th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • Our trusted projections expect the New York Giants to be the 9th-most run-oriented offense in football near the end zone (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 47.1% red zone run rate.
  • The projections expect the Giants to run the 2nd-fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.0 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect Jaxson Dart to throw 31.8 passes in this game, on balance: the 5th-fewest among all QBs.
  • Comprising 23.4% of his team's red zone run game usage this year (98th percentile among QBs), Jaxson Dart's mobility makes him a significant weapon in New York's rushing attack near the goal line.

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