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Jaxson Dart

Jaxson Dart Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 10

Chicago Bears vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Jaxson Dart Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+210/-235).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -200 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -235.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This week's line indicates a passing game script for the Giants, who are -4.5-point underdogs.
  • The projections expect this game to have the most plays run on the slate this week at 135.7 plays, given the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The 9th-highest number of plays in football have been run by the Giants this year (a monstrous 58.9 per game on average).
  • When it comes to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Giants ranks as the 5th-best in the NFL this year.
  • This year, the shaky Bears defense has given up a monstrous 76.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 5th-worst rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Giants to pass on 52.7% of their opportunities: the 4th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The weather forecast calls for 22-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing effectiveness.
  • In this contest, Jaxson Dart is forecasted by the projection model to wind up with the 9th-fewest pass attempts out of all QBs with 32.8.
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to lean on the pass against the Chicago Bears, averaging the 8th-fewest attempts in the league (a mere 30.4 per game) this year.
  • While Jaxson Dart has accounted for 24.4% of his offense's red zone rush attempts in games he has played this year, the projections expect him to be much more involved in New York's rushing attack near the goal line in this week's contest at 40.0%.

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