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Jaxson Dart

Jaxson Dart TD Passes
Player Prop Week 7

Denver Broncos vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Jaxson Dart TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-153/+147).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -182 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -153.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are giant underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of an emphasis on passing than their normal approach.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to have 135.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most among all games this week.
  • The New York Giants have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 61.2 plays per game.
  • In regards to pocket protection (and the positive impact it has on all air attack stats), the offensive line of the Giants profiles as the 4th-best in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the New York Giants as the 10th-least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 55.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The projections expect the New York Giants to be the 9th-least pass-focused team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 54.3% red zone pass rate.
  • In racking up a mere 17.2 pass attempts per game this year, Jaxson Dart ranks among the bottom quarterbacks in football (13th percentile) in this respect.
  • This year, the daunting Denver Broncos defense has allowed a mere 66.4% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 6th-lowest rate in football.
  • The Denver Broncos defense has allowed the 2nd-fewest passing TDs in the league: 0.67 per game this year.

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