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Jaxson Dart

Jaxson Dart Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Detroit Lions vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Jaxson Dart Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-111/-111).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Giants to be the 4th-most run-centric offense in football (context-neutralized) right now with a 42.7% run rate.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by our trusted projection set to see 130.2 plays on offense run: the 5th-most out of all the games this week.
  • The Giants have run the 6th-most plays in football this year, totaling a colossal 60.0 plays per game.
  • The projections expect Jaxson Dart to accrue 6.6 carries in this week's contest, on balance: the 4th-most out of all quarterbacks.
  • While Jaxson Dart has garnered 19.9% of his offense's run game usage in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much less involved in New York's run game in this game at 5.6%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Giants are a massive 10.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may suffer.
  • This year, the imposing Detroit Lions run defense has allowed a mere 97.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to opposing squads: the 8th-fewest in the league.
  • The Lions linebackers profile as the 4th-best collection of LBs in the NFL this year when it comes to run defense.

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