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Jaxson Dart

Jaxson Dart Completions
Player Prop Week 8

Philadelphia Eagles vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Jaxson Dart Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-101/-127).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -101.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Giants are a huge 7-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating an extreme passing game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Giants offense to be the 2nd-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) right now, averaging 26.48 seconds per play.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may go down.
  • In regards to protecting the quarterback (and the positive effect it has on all passing attack stats), the offensive line of the New York Giants grades out as the 3rd-best in football this year.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles safeties project as the worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in defending pass-catchers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Giants to pass on 54.1% of their opportunities: the 7th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The model projects Jaxson Dart to throw 32.6 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 7th-fewest out of all QBs.
  • With a weak 60.4% Adjusted Completion% (15th percentile) this year, Jaxson Dart ranks among the least accurate passers in football.
  • This year, the stout Philadelphia Eagles defense has yielded a paltry 65.1% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing offenses: the 3rd-best rate in the NFL.

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