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Jaxson Dart

Jaxson Dart Completions
Player Prop Week 5

New Orleans Saints vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Jaxson Dart Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+101/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ +101.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect this game to see the highest number of plays run among all games this week at 139.7 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The New York Giants have called the 5th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.5 plays per game.
  • The passing attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may slide.
  • As it relates to pocket protection (and the strong impact it has on all passing attack stats), the O-line of the Giants ranks as the 7th-best in football this year.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in covering pass-catchers, New Orleans's collection of CBs has been dreadful this year, profiling as the 4th-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The predictive model expects the New York Giants to be the 5th-least pass-focused offense on the slate this week with a 54.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 28.0 pass attempts per game versus the Saints defense this year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.
  • Since the start of last season, the stout New Orleans Saints defense has yielded a feeble 69.3% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing QBs: the 7th-smallest rate in the league.

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