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Jaxson Dart

Jaxson Dart Carries
Player Prop Week 7

Denver Broncos vs New York Giants

 
 
 
Jaxson Dart Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Giants to be the 3rd-most run-focused team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 42.4% run rate.
  • Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the predictive model to have 135.1 plays on offense run: the 2nd-most among all games this week.
  • The New York Giants have called the 4th-most plays in the league this year, totaling a whopping 61.2 plays per game.
  • In this game, Jaxson Dart is projected by the predictive model to accumulate the 4th-most carries among all QBs with 7.0.
  • Making up 19.0% of his team's carries this year (77th percentile among quarterbacks), Jaxson Dart's mobility makes him a serious threat as a ball-carrier.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • At a -8.5-point disadvantage, the Giants are giant underdogs in this week's game, indicating much more of an emphasis on passing than their normal approach.
  • As it relates to the safeties' role in defending against the run, Denver's safety corps has been exceptional this year, projecting as the 5th-best in the NFL.

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