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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 4

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+160/-168).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -196 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -168.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Seahawks offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.80 seconds per snap.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

The Cardinals defense has been something of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.9 per game) since the start of last season.

While Jaxon Smith-Njigba has received 22.2% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be a more integral piece of Seattle's pass game near the end zone this week at 30.8%.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has totaled a monstrous 79.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 86th percentile among wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Seahawks offensive blueprint to skew 7.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak now calling the plays.

At the moment, the 3rd-most run-heavy offense in the NFL near the end zone (49.6% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the Seattle Seahawks.

The Seattle offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

The Cardinals defense has given up the 3rd-fewest TDs through the air in the NFL to wideouts: 0.85 per game since the start of last season.

As it relates to the defensive ends' role in defending against the run, Arizona's DE corps has been dreadful since the start of last season, projecting as the 6th-worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

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