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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 20

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-105/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With an exceptional 26.2% Red Zone Target Rate (96th percentile) this year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba rates as one of the wide receivers with the most usage near the goal line in football.
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba has accrued many more air yards this season (109.0 per game) than he did last season (73.0 per game).
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 88.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 57.6.
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba profiles as one of the most sure-handed receivers in football, completing a fantastic 75.6% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 93rd percentile among WRs.
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba ranks in the 94th percentile among wide receivers when it comes to catching TDs this year, averaging a remarkable 0.53 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks are a giant 7.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks to be the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 52.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • At the moment, the 3rd-most run-focused team in football in the red zone (50.6% adjusted for context) according to our trusted projection set is the Seattle Seahawks.
  • Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Seahawks are predicted by the predictive model to call just 63.9 offensive plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.
  • When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in run defense, San Francisco's unit has been awful this year, projecting as the worst in the NFL. in the NFL.

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