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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Touchdowns
Player Prop Week 12

Tennessee Titans vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Touchdowns Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+100/-104).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • While Jaxon Smith-Njigba has earned 18.2% of his team's red zone targets in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be a more integral piece of Seattle's pass game near the end zone in this week's contest at 31.9%.
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba has accrued many more air yards this season (118.0 per game) than he did last season (73.0 per game).
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 91.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive volume) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 57.6.
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba profiles as one of the most reliable receivers in the league, completing an outstanding 76.1% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 89th percentile among wideouts.
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba ranks in the 91st percentile among wide receivers as it relates to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a fantastic 0.45 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • An extreme running game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a big 12.5-point favorite in this week's contest.
  • Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 49.5% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • At the moment, the 2nd-most run-heavy team in football near the end zone (52.2% in a neutral context) according to the model is the Seattle Seahawks.
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to have only 127.4 total plays run: the 4th-fewest among all games this week.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have called the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 53.3 plays per game.

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