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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Washington Commanders vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+108/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -148 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to have 134.4 offensive plays run: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually cause increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • Our trusted projections expect Jaxon Smith-Njigba to total 12.0 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been a more integral piece of his team's air attack this year (39.0% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (24.3%).
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba rates as one of the best WRs in the game this year, averaging an outstanding 6.2 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 97th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks to be the 6th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The 7th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Seahawks this year (just 52.7 per game on average).

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