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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Seattle Seahawks vs Houston Texans

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to see 128.6 plays on offense run: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.

The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The model projects Jaxon Smith-Njigba to notch 10.5 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 37.2% Target Rate this season shows a remarkable gain in his pass game volume over last season's 24.3% mark.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba ranks as one of the top wide receivers in the game this year, averaging a stellar 6.0 adjusted catches per game while grading out in the 97th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line implies a running game script for the Seahawks, who are favored by 3 points.

Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks as the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The fewest plays in the league have been called by the Seahawks this year (a lowly 51.8 per game on average).

This year, the imposing Houston Texans defense has given up a meager 60.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing wide receivers: the 4th-smallest rate in football.

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