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Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions
Player Prop Week 23

New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-165/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -155 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -165.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this week's game, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is predicted by our trusted projection set to finish in the 100th percentile among WRs with 11.4 targets.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been much more involved in his offense's pass game this season (35.5% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (24.2%).

With a remarkable 5.9 adjusted catches per game (98th percentile) this year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba ranks as one of the leading WRs in the NFL in the league.

With an impressive 75.5% Adjusted Catch Rate (92nd percentile) this year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba rates as one of the most reliable receivers in football among wide receivers.

This year, the poor Patriots pass defense has given up a colossal 67.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the biggest rate in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line implies a rushing game script for the Seahawks, who are favored by 4.5 points.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 55.5% of their downs: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

At the moment, the 6th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Seahawks.

Opposing offenses have averaged 26.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense this year: fewest in the league.

As it relates to linebackers in defending receivers, New England's group of LBs has been exceptional this year, ranking as the 4th-best in the league.

More Jaxon Smith-Njigba Player Props

Jaxon Smith-Njigba ReceptionsPlayer Prop Week 23

New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions
Player Prop Week 23