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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-116/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +109 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -116.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In this week's contest, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is anticipated by our trusted projection set to land in the 100th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 11.0 targets.
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 36.1% Target Rate this year illustrates a noteworthy boost in his passing game workload over last year's 24.3% mark.
  • With a stellar 6.2 adjusted catches per game (97th percentile) this year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba ranks among the leading wide receivers in the NFL in football.
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba profiles as one of the most sure-handed receivers in football, completing a fantastic 75.6% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 93rd percentile among WRs.
  • When it comes to safeties in pass coverage, San Francisco's group of safeties has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the worst in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks are a giant 7.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks to be the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 52.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Seahawks are predicted by the predictive model to call just 63.9 offensive plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.

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