My Account Log Out
 
 
Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Carolina Panthers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-125).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In this week's contest, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is predicted by the projection model to place in the 97th percentile among WRs with 10.8 targets.
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 36.2% Target Share this year conveys an impressive gain in his pass game workload over last year's 24.3% mark.
  • With an excellent 6.1 adjusted receptions per game (97th percentile) this year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba stands as one of the leading pass-catching wide receivers in football.
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba comes in as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, completing a fantastic 75.2% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 90th percentile among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks are a big 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 53.1% of their chances: the 5th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • The projections expect this game to play at the 11th-worst tempo on the slate this week, averaging 26.72 seconds per play given the approaches of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Seahawks have called the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 53.4 plays per game.
  • The Carolina Panthers pass defense has surrendered the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (62.9%) to wideouts this year (62.9%).

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™