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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Carolina Panthers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+103/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • In this week's contest, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is predicted by the projection model to place in the 98th percentile among WRs with 10.9 targets.
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 36.2% Target Share this year conveys an impressive gain in his pass game workload over last year's 24.3% mark.
  • With an excellent 6.1 adjusted receptions per game (97th percentile) this year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba stands as one of the leading pass-catching wide receivers in football.
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba comes in as one of the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL, completing a fantastic 75.2% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 90th percentile among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks are a big 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 54.1% of their chances: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are anticipated by the model to call only 63.3 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Seahawks have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 53.4 plays per game.
  • The Carolina Panthers pass defense has surrendered the 10th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (62.9%) to wideouts this year (62.9%).

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