My Account Log Out
 
 
Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +110 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Rams defense this year: 5th-most in football.
  • In this game, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is expected by the projections to secure a spot in the 99th percentile among wide receivers with 11.0 targets.
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 35.8% Target% this season marks a meaningful improvement in his air attack usage over last season's 24.3% rate.
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba comes in as one of the leading WRs in the game this year, averaging an outstanding 5.9 adjusted catches per game while ranking in the 97th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 6th-fewest plays in football have been called by the Seattle Seahawks this year (just 53.3 per game on average).
  • The forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Los Angeles's collection of LBs has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2025 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™