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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions
Player Prop Week 13

Seattle Seahawks vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • In this week's game, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is anticipated by our trusted projection set to place in the 99th percentile among wide receivers with 10.9 targets.
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been much more involved in his offense's passing offense this season (38.4% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (24.3%).
  • With a fantastic 6.6 adjusted catches per game (98th percentile) this year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba rates as one of the top pass-catching wide receivers in the NFL.
  • With a remarkable 76.5% Adjusted Completion Rate (95th percentile) this year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba ranks among the most sure-handed receivers in the NFL when it comes to wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks are a huge 11.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Seahawks as the 3rd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 50.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to see just 127.9 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The 5th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Seahawks this year (only 52.4 per game on average).
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Vikings defense this year: 4th-fewest in the NFL.

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