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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Washington Commanders vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 98.5 (-113/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 91.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 98.5 @ -113.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is expected by our trusted projection set to have 134.4 offensive plays run: the 4th-highest number out of all the games this week.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being predicted in this game) usually cause increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air attack volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • Our trusted projections expect Jaxon Smith-Njigba to total 12.0 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to WRs.
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been a more integral piece of his team's air attack this year (39.0% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (24.3%).
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba has notched many more air yards this season (125.0 per game) than he did last season (73.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks to be the 6th-least pass-focused team among all teams this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The 7th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Seahawks this year (just 52.7 per game on average).
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba's ability to grind out extra yardage has worsened this season, notching a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.55 figure last season.

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