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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Seattle Seahawks vs Houston Texans

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 89.5 (-113/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 83.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 89.5 @ -113.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is anticipated by the model to see 128.6 plays on offense run: the 5th-highest number among all games this week.

The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower ground volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.

The model projects Jaxon Smith-Njigba to notch 10.5 targets this week, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 37.2% Target Rate this season shows a remarkable gain in his pass game volume over last season's 24.3% mark.

After averaging 73.0 air yards per game last year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has produced significantly more this year, now boasting 118.0 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line implies a running game script for the Seahawks, who are favored by 3 points.

Our trusted projections expect the Seahawks as the least pass-centric team on the slate this week with a 54.9% pass rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The fewest plays in the league have been called by the Seahawks this year (a lowly 51.8 per game on average).

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates a meaningful decrease in his efficiency in space over last year's 4.6% mark.

This year, the daunting Texans defense has given up a paltry 119.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing wide receivers: the 4th-fewest in the league.

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