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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Seattle Seahawks

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 86.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 78.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 86.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing QBs have averaged 40.6 pass attempts per game versus the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 4th-most in the NFL.

The model projects Jaxon Smith-Njigba to accumulate 10.0 targets in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 99th percentile among WRs.

After averaging 73.0 air yards per game last year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has produced significantly more this year, now averaging 107.0 per game.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 84.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that weighs high-value offensive usage) has been quite a bit better this year than it was last year at 57.6.

With a remarkable 69.0 adjusted yards per game through the air (99th percentile) this year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been among the top pass-catching WRs in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Seahawks as the 5th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.2% pass rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

The 5th-fewest plays in the league have been run by the Seahawks this year (only 52.4 per game on average).

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's ability to generate extra yardage has declined this season, averaging a mere 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.55 mark last season.

The Jaguars pass defense has given up the 4th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (59.5%) to wide receivers this year (59.5%).

This year, the strong Jacksonville Jaguars defense has conceded the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing WRs: a meager 6.9 yards.

More Jaxon Smith-Njigba Player Props

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