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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Arizona Cardinals vs Seattle Seahawks

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 81.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 70.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 81.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Seahawks offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time, averaging 27.80 seconds per snap.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (as in zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may decline.

The Cardinals defense has been something of pass funnel since the start of last season, leading opposing offenses to attempt the 9th-most passes in the NFL (33.9 per game) since the start of last season.

In this week's game, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is projected by the predictive model to land in the 99th percentile among wideouts with 10.6 targets.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has totaled a monstrous 79.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 86th percentile among wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Seahawks offensive blueprint to skew 7.0% more towards rushing than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak now calling the plays.

Right now, the 4th-least pass-oriented offense in the NFL (57.9% context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Seahawks.

The leading projections forecast Jaxon Smith-Njigba to be much less involved in his team's passing attack in this week's game (32.0% projected Target Share) than he has been this year (42.4% in games he has played).

The Seattle offensive line grades out as the 4th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year indicates an impressive reduction in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 4.6% rate.

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