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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Seattle Seahawks vs New Orleans Saints

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 71.5 (-102/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 69.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 71.5 @ -102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to have 138.9 offensive plays run: the highest number on the slate this week.

Opposing teams have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game versus the Saints defense since the start of last season: 8th-most in the league.

In this contest, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is projected by our trusted projection set to rank in the 97th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 10.0 targets.

While Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been responsible for 26.0% of his offense's targets in games he has played since the start of last season, the predictive model expects him to be a more integral piece of Seattle's passing attack in this contest at 31.0%.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has totaled a monstrous 79.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 87th percentile when it comes to WRs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seattle Seahawks boast a new play-caller this year in offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak, and the projections expect their pass/run mix to lean 6.7% more towards rushing than it did last year (in a neutral context).

This week's spread indicates an extreme running game script for the Seahawks, who are overwhelmingly favored by 7 points.

The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks as the 3rd-least pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 51.0% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The Seahawks have called the 8th-fewest plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a mere 55.9 plays per game.

The Seattle Seahawks O-line ranks as the worst in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all passing attack metrics across the board.

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