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Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 22

New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 94.5 (+120/-136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 91.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 94.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

In this week's game, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is predicted by our trusted projection set to finish in the 100th percentile among WRs with 11.4 targets.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been much more involved in his offense's pass game this season (35.5% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (24.2%).

After accumulating 73.0 air yards per game last year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has undergone big improvement this year, now averaging 107.0 per game.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 85.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this season indicates a remarkable progression in his pass-catching skills over last season's 69.0 figure.

With an impressive 75.5% Adjusted Catch Rate (92nd percentile) this year, Jaxon Smith-Njigba rates as one of the most reliable receivers in football among wide receivers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's line implies a rushing game script for the Seahawks, who are favored by 4.5 points.

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 55.5% of their downs: the lowest rate among all teams this week.

At the moment, the 6th-slowest paced offense in the NFL (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Seahawks.

Opposing offenses have averaged 26.6 pass attempts per game vs. the New England Patriots defense this year: fewest in the league.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season conveys a noteable reduction in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last season's 4.6% rate.

More Jaxon Smith-Njigba Player Props

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 22

New England Patriots vs Seattle Seahawks

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 22