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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 21

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 91.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 90.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 91.5 @ -104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is expected by the predictive model to see 131.0 offensive plays run: the most out of all the games this week.
  • The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (2-mph wind) being projected in this game, while run volume may drop-off.
  • The predictive model expects Jaxon Smith-Njigba to earn 12.0 targets in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 100th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been a more integral piece of his offense's air attack this year (35.7% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (24.3%).
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba has accrued many more air yards this year (105.0 per game) than he did last year (73.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seahawks to pass on 56.5% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
  • The 8th-smallest volume of plays in football have been run by the Seahawks this year (only 49.2 per game on average).
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season signifies a noteable drop-off in his effectiveness in picking up extra yardage over last season's 4.6% figure.
  • When it comes to safeties in defending receivers, Los Angeles's unit has been phenomenal this year, projecting as the best in football.

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