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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 20

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 96.5 (-118/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 90.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 96.5 @ -118.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • In this week's contest, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is anticipated by our trusted projection set to land in the 100th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 11.0 targets.
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 36.1% Target Rate this year illustrates a noteworthy boost in his passing game workload over last year's 24.3% mark.
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba has accrued many more air yards this season (109.0 per game) than he did last season (73.0 per game).
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba has totaled substantially more adjusted receiving yards per game (90.0) this season than he did last season (69.0).
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba profiles as one of the most sure-handed receivers in football, completing a fantastic 75.6% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 93rd percentile among WRs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks are a giant 7.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • The leading projections forecast the Seattle Seahawks to be the least pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 52.6% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • Given their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Seahawks are predicted by the predictive model to call just 63.9 offensive plays in this game: the fewest among all teams this week.
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba's ability to grind out extra yardage has declined this season, notching just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a 4.55 rate last season.

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