reorder

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 98.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 100.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 98.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The 49ers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing teams to attempt the 8th-most passes in the league (36.2 per game) this year.

In this week's game, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is predicted by the projections to land in the 99th percentile among wideouts with 11.4 targets.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been a more integral piece of his team's pass attack this year (36.8% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last year (24.3%).

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has put up far more air yards this season (109.0 per game) than he did last season (73.0 per game).

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 91.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year illustrates a significant improvement in his receiving proficiency over last year's 69.0 mark.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Seahawks offense to skew 7.5% more towards running than it did last year (in a neutral context) with offensive coordinator Klint Kubiak now calling the plays.

The model projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 6th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 53.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

Right now, the 7th-slowest paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Seahawks.

The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing effectiveness.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year shows a material reduction in his efficiency in picking up extra yardage over last year's 4.6% mark.

More Jaxon Smith-Njigba Player Props

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 18

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 18