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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Carolina Panthers vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 90.5 (-106/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 89.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 90.5 @ -106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • In this week's contest, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is predicted by the projection model to place in the 98th percentile among WRs with 10.9 targets.
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 36.2% Target Share this year conveys an impressive gain in his pass game workload over last year's 24.3% mark.
  • After accumulating 73.0 air yards per game last season, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has shown good development this season, now averaging 110.0 per game.
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 91.0 adjusted receiving yards per game this year indicates a significant boost in his pass-catching skills over last year's 69.0 mark.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks are a big 7-point favorite this week, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
  • Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 54.1% of their chances: the 7th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are anticipated by the model to call only 63.3 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Seahawks have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 53.4 plays per game.
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season illustrates a substantial decrease in his effectiveness in space over last season's 4.6% rate.

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