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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 89.5 (-113/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 91.5 @ -198 before it was bet down to 89.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 130.6 plays, given the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Rams defense this year: 5th-most in football.
  • In this game, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is expected by the projections to secure a spot in the 99th percentile among wide receivers with 11.0 targets.
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 35.8% Target% this season marks a meaningful improvement in his air attack usage over last season's 24.3% rate.
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba has compiled significantly more air yards this year (110.0 per game) than he did last year (73.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The 6th-fewest plays in football have been called by the Seattle Seahawks this year (just 53.3 per game on average).
  • The forecast calls for 18-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Jaxon Smith-Njigba's ability to grind out extra yardage has tailed off this season, accumulating just 0.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a 4.55 rate last season.
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Los Angeles's collection of LBs has been fantastic this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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