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Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Seattle Seahawks vs Minnesota Vikings

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 98.5 (-114/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 95.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 98.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, and lower ground volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

In this week's game, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is anticipated by our trusted projection set to place in the 99th percentile among wide receivers with 10.9 targets.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been much more involved in his offense's passing offense this season (38.4% Target Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (24.3%).

After averaging 73.0 air yards per game last season, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has seen marked improvement this season, now averaging 121.0 per game.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has compiled significantly more adjusted receiving yards per game (100.0) this season than he did last season (69.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seahawks are a huge 11.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Seahawks as the 3rd-least pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 50.7% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is expected by the projection model to see just 127.9 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.

The 5th-lowest number of plays in the NFL have been run by the Seahawks this year (only 52.4 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Vikings defense this year: 4th-fewest in the NFL.

More Jaxon Smith-Njigba Player Props

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 13

Seattle Seahawks vs Minnesota Vikings

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 13