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Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Tennessee Titans vs Seattle Seahawks

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 94.5 (-114/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 93.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 94.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast Jaxon Smith-Njigba to notch 10.2 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 97th percentile when it comes to wide receivers.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been much more involved in his team's passing offense this year (38.1% Target Share in games he has played) than he was last year (24.3%).

Jaxon Smith-Njigba has accrued many more air yards this season (118.0 per game) than he did last season (73.0 per game).

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's 97.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year indicates a noteable boost in his pass-catching ability over last year's 69.0 rate.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba profiles as one of the most reliable receivers in the league, completing an outstanding 76.1% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, checking in at the 89th percentile among wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme running game script is indicated by the Seahawks being a big 12.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

Based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 49.5% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying play styles of each team, this contest is predicted by the projections to have only 127.4 total plays run: the 4th-fewest among all games this week.

The Seattle Seahawks have called the 6th-fewest plays in football this year, totaling a measly 53.3 plays per game.

Opposing teams teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Titans, totaling the 9th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 31.6 per game) this year.

More Jaxon Smith-Njigba Player Props

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving YardsPlayer Prop Week 12

Tennessee Titans vs Seattle Seahawks

Jaxon Smith-Njigba Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12